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  • 西方의 中央아시아 石油. 가스部問 推進方向
    Foreign Investment in Oil & Gas of Central Asia

    Foreign Investment in Oil & Gas of Central Asia Cheolwon Lee Central Asia, rich in crude oil and natural gas deposits, possesses vast and untapped development potential. Though the nearby Middle East is better known for sitti..

    Cheol-Won Lee Date 1997.12.30

    Energy industry
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    Foreign Investment in Oil & Gas of Central Asia Cheolwon Lee Central Asia, rich in crude oil and natural gas deposits, possesses vast and untapped development potential. Though the nearby Middle East is better known for sitting on top of most of the world's natural resources, the Caspian region itself contains richer oil reserves (100 billion barrels) than the recently fought over reserves in Kuwait (97 billion barrels).
    In the 19th century, the British and Russian empires clashed in the Great Game, fiercely jousting over control of Central Asia and its riches. Now, at stake is the world's third largest deposit of oil and gas, and the players are the Russians and the Americans. Recent instability in the Middle East has highlighted the need for securing other safe sources of these natural resources. Accordingly, the U.S. government has declared the Caspian region an area of strategic interest and U.S. oil companies have flooded into the local market.

    Because Korea depends heavily on oil produced in the Middle East (77 per cent), the health of her economy rests precariously on the region's stability. In order to wean itself from this dependency, Korean firms should actively participate in oil and gas projects in Central Asia. In this context, this study investigates recent activities in Central Asia by Western companies, and based on this, offers suggestions as to how the Korean government and business sector can make meaningful inroads via oil and gas projects.
  • 메콩江流域 開發現況과 韓國의 參與方案
    The Current Status of the Mekong Basin Development Project and Korea's Strategy

    The Current Status of the Mekong Basin Development Project and Korea's Strategy Jaewoan Cheong, Kyoungdoug Kwon The Mekong, is one of the world's longest rivers and runs through six nations China, Myanmar, Laos, Thailand, Cambodi..

    Jae-Won Cheong Date 1997.12.30

    Economic development, Economic cooperation
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    The Current Status of the Mekong Basin Development Project and Korea's Strategy Jaewoan Cheong, Kyoungdoug Kwon The Mekong, is one of the world's longest rivers and runs through six nations China, Myanmar, Laos, Thailand, Cambodia and Vietnam emerging rapidly as "the region of opportunity". This region is rich in natural resources such as hydro power, coal, oil, gas and lumber, and possesses abundant quality human resources.

    These six countries that border the Mekong river share similar cultural characteristics. All of them, except Thailand, have accepted capitalistic market economies only recently and now they are propelling rapid, open-door reforms and development policies. In line with these policies, the possibility of joint development has been carefully discussed since the late 1980s.

    The Mekong Development Project requires cooperation in several basic setors: traffic, energy, communication, trade and investment. These SOC construction projects, including the TAR (Trans-Asia Railway) Project, make for an extremely attractive market.

    From the mid-1990s, Korea has taken a growing interest in the Mekong Development Project. When the Project commenced several years ago, a few Korean enterprises were involved in developing roads and power plants. Also, Korea competed with developed countries like Japan, the U.S. and others in Europe through credits or grants.

    It seems that East Asia's recent financial crisis will present serious setback to Mekong Basin Development Project. But, remarkable developmental potential of this area is quite clear, considering that all of the basin nations are growing rapidly with the help of aid from various assistance organizations and foreign capital from foreign companies. Korea needs to actively participate in this project in anticipation of long-term and prosperous partnership with Southeast Asian countries.
  • 러시아의 석유. 가스 수송체계
    Oil and Gas Transportation System in Russia

    Oil and Gas Transportation System in Russia Seungweon Suh Russia hosts the world's largest production of natural gas and third largest production of crude oil. Accordingly, Russia's export of these natural resources plays a decis..

    Seung-Weon Suh Date 1997.12.30

    Energy industry
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    Oil and Gas Transportation System in Russia Seungweon Suh Russia hosts the world's largest production of natural gas and third largest production of crude oil. Accordingly, Russia's export of these natural resources plays a decisive role in the world energy market. Driven by higher market prices abroad than back home, Russian government and business sector have also taken a keen interest in exporting their oil & gas resources.

    However, Russia's oil & gas exports have not expanded according to expectations. This has been due to various transportation related problems, including limited capacity of pipelines and ports, a rapid increase in transportation costs and worn-out infrastructure. Although the Russian government and foreign companies are trying to improve transportation capacity of oil & gas, they have run into snags such as limited funds and conflict of interests.

    Korea, highly dependent on foreign natural energy resources, has inherent interest in diversifying its oil & gas import routes. From this viewpoint, Korea needs to secure access to Russia's energy supply in order to satisfy and stabilize demand over the long-run. In this context, this study investigates oil & gas transportation system of Russia, and based on this, offers suggestions as to how the Korean government and business sector can import oil & gas from Russia.
  • Implications of APEC Trade Liberalization on the OECD Countries: An empirical An..
    Implications of APEC Trade Liberalization on the OECD Countries: An empirical Analysis Based on a CGE Model (97.12)

    Over the past decade, globalization has been a pervasive trend in almost all economies. The word economy is becoming increasingly interdependent, deepening and intensifying international linkages, most notably in trade. As trade e..

    Inkyo Cheong et al. Date 1997.12.30

    Economic opening, Trade policy
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    Over the past decade, globalization has been a pervasive trend in almost all economies. The word economy is becoming increasingly interdependent, deepening and intensifying international linkages, most notably in trade. As trade expands among nations throughout the world, integration of the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) economies with non-OECD economies has become a salient feature of the global economy.

    This study identified the possible long-term effect of APEC's trade liberalization commitments on real GDP and trade across regions, both inside and outside the APEC area, and on employment by production sector in each region using a multiregion, multisector, computational general equilibrium (CGE) model.
    One of the key finding from our empirical work is the impacts of trade liberalization and facilitation measures in the APEC region have turned out to be significant at least in direction if not in magnitude, throughout OECD as well as non-OECD economies. In particular, because agricultural liberalization and trade facilitation are incorporated in our experiment, the impact stemming from liberalization in these areas turned out to be substantially important.
  • 韓國의 對베트남 投資 및 ODA 推進方向
    The Korea's Strategies for FDI and ODA toward Vietnam

    The Korea's Strategies for FDI and ODA toward Vietnam Jaewoan Cheong The economy of Vietnam has gone through many remarkable changes through the introduction of 'Doi-Moi' policy in 1986. These changes include high economic growth..

    Jae-Won Cheong Date 1997.12.30

    Economic reform, Foreign investment
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    The Korea's Strategies for FDI and ODA toward Vietnam Jaewoan Cheong The economy of Vietnam has gone through many remarkable changes through the introduction of 'Doi-Moi' policy in 1986. These changes include high economic growth, the removal of embargo by developed countries, the re-establishment of its relationship with the USA, the improvement of the foreign investment environment, and its joining of ASEAN, etc. However, Vietnam still urgently needs further improvements and expansion of its overall infrastructure, such as developing its roads, railroads, ports, telecommunications and electronic manufacturing sector in order to continue its current high economic growth rate in the future. Therefore, Vietnam needs more ODA and FDI from other countries.

    Now, Korea has emerged the fifth largest FDI nation into Vietnam, and Vietnam has become as one of the highest receivers of Korea's ODA programs since relations were re-established between the two countries in 1992.

    Our government needs to positively cope with changes in the world economy and to adjust the industrial structure within Korea. This means essentially that Korea should need expand economic cooperation with developing countries such as Vietnam in trade, investment and ODA. In regard to the scale of the Korean economy and the potential of Vietnamese economy, not only should the scale of economic cooperation be strengthened, but the efficiency of ODA and FDI between the two countries should be considered.
  • 베트남의 經濟改革 進出現況 및 經濟展望
    The Current Status of the Vietnamese Economic Reform and the Economic Outlook

    The Current Status of the Vietnamese Economic Reform and the Economic Outlook Jaewoan Cheong In 1986, the Government of Vietnam launched the 'Doi Moi', a comprehensive reform program to respond to severe macroeconomic instability..

    Jae-Wan Cheong Date 1997.12.30

    Economic reform, Economic outlook
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    The Current Status of the Vietnamese Economic Reform and the Economic Outlook Jaewoan Cheong In 1986, the Government of Vietnam launched the 'Doi Moi', a comprehensive reform program to respond to severe macroeconomic instability, economic stagnation and growing rural hunger. This reform was aimed at building a multi-sector economy by recognizing and formalizing the role of the private sector, opening the economy to foreign trade and investment, and returning to a system of smallholder agriculture.

    The 'Doi Moi' program has restored stability, accelerated growth at 8 9 percent in the 1990s, and attracted public and private foreign capital commitments unprecedented in Vietnam's history. Also, inflation has dramatically dropped from close to 400 percent in 1988 to 19 percent in 1995, to about 5 percent in 1996 due to tight fiscal and monetary policies as well as falling food prices.

    But, recent external developments have significantly clouded the external environment facing Vietnam. East asia is currently in the midst of an unprecedented currency and financial crisis. Vietnam is likely to face a much less favorable external environment which will make sustaining the rapid growth of the past several years more difficult. Nevertheless, consensus opinions seem to suggest that Vietnam can achieve its primary medium-term growth (9 percent) and development objectives of high economic growth.

    Achieving these objectives will therefore require a strong domestic policy stance, including appropriate macroeconomic policies and an acceleration of structural reforms, paralleled by continued strong donor support.
  • Economic Impact of Foreign Debt in Korea
    Economic Impact of Foreign Debt in Korea

    Korea has recently experienced a rapid increase of total external debt and a predominance of short-term loans. Instead of the level of debt itself, the debt structure and the increase in the growth rate of debt are the most import..

    Sang-In Hwang Date 1997.12.30

    Financial crisis
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    Korea has recently experienced a rapid increase of total external debt and a predominance of short-term loans. Instead of the level of debt itself, the debt structure and the increase in the growth rate of debt are the most important factors involved in the current debt crisis.

    The empirical analysis on Korea's foreign debt indicates that an increase in the growth of debt is harmful to Korea's economy and that total external debt may not be sustainable. The result of the sustainability test implies that the gradual reduction of foreign debt to a certain level is desirable. In order to decrease the foreign debt, Korea needs to increase its current account surplus, either by increasing savings or by decreasing investment, and increase foreign direct investment through deregulation.

    The structural problems associated with a rapid increase in debt are: accumulation of current account deficits; over-investment; a large amount of bank liabilities due to government intervention; labor market inflexibility; and a loss of policy credibility. These contribute directly or indirectly to the tremendous increases of foreign debt.

    The current debt crisis was difficult to predict because it was caused by complex economic, financial and political events. For the efficient debt management, a possible solution is to set up an early warning system that can predict debt crisis. It is necessary for the government at this point to improve the national debt management system in order to monitor and manage the scale and structure of outstanding debt. Then, Korea will be able to track down the flow of its debt structures and trends. In this way, Korea can plan and prepare well in advance to prevent future debt problems.
  • 우크라이나의 경제개혁과 외국인투자제도
    Ukraine's Economic Reform and Foreign Investment Regime

    Ukraine's Economic Reform and Foreign Investment RegimeHyongkun LeeEndowed with vast land and an abundant supply of natural resources, Ukraine possesses great economic development potential as a link between Eastern Europe, Russia..

    Hyongkun Lee Date 1997.12.30

    Economic reform, Foreign investment
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    Ukraine's Economic Reform and Foreign Investment RegimeHyongkun Lee

    Endowed with vast land and an abundant supply of natural resources, Ukraine possesses great economic development potential as a link between Eastern Europe, Russia, and countries bordering the Black Sea.

    After Ukraine gained independence in 1991, its economy remained stagnant due to political chaos and the breakdown of cooperation among the CIS countries. Recently, however, Ukraine's economy has stabilized, receding by only 3.2 percent in 1997 compared to sharp drop of 10.0 percent in 1996. By creating an attractive atmosphere for investment, Ukraine boosted annual foreign direct investment (FDI) by 31.6 percent in 1997 to $500 million. Since 1992, Ukraine has attracted FDI totalling approximately $2.0 billion.

    Since Korea and Ukraine established diplomatic relations in early 1992, cooperation at both the governmental and non-official levels has expanded repidly. Annual bilateral trade jumped by 40.6 percent in 1997 to $300 million. Furthermore, as of January 1998, Korean firms have injected a total of $25 million in FDI (permission-based, total six cases) since 1996, indicating that Ukraine has emerged as an important investment destination for Korean firms.
  • 중국의 경제개혁과 중앙·지방관계
    Impact of Fiscal Decentralization on Central-Local Relations in China

    Impact of Fiscal Decentralization on Central-Local Relations in ChinaWolla ParkThis paper intends to examine the impact of Chinese economic reform on central-local relations in order to gain a better understanding of the centrifug..

    Wolla Park Date 1997.12.30

    Economic reform
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    Impact of Fiscal Decentralization on Central-Local Relations in ChinaWolla Park

    This paper intends to examine the impact of Chinese economic reform on central-local relations in order to gain a better understanding of the centrifugal forces swirling in the Chinese political economy. Given that the fiscal decentralization is one of the defining characteristics of the post-Mao reforms, the paper focuses on reconstructing the patterns of fiscal relations between the center and the provinces over the last 20 years. The discussion consists of three main parts. First, an overall sketch of Chinese reform which may be summarized by the phrase "fengquan rangli," that is, to devolve central control over resources and decision-making power to local governments on the one hand and enterprises on the other, is presented. And it suggests that this decentralization reform has transformed the formerly coercive central-local relations into the negotiatory ones, in which the central and local governments are relatively independent actors in a more or less competitive partnership. Secondly, the evolution of the Chinese formal fiscal systems is discussed, with special attention to the various forms of central-provincial revenue-sharing contracts in the 1980s and the adoption of new sweeping fiscal reforms since 1994. Lastly, data is presented on the evolution of fiscal capacity of the Chinese state in order to whether and how the fiscal decentralization actually affected the fiscal decline of the central government and the restructuring of central-provincial relations.
  • In Search of an Effective Role for ASEM: Combating International Corruption
    In Search of an Effective Role for ASEM: Combating International Corruption

    ASEM has emerged as an important vehicle for linking Asia and Europe. This paper searches for an effective role for ASEM by suggesting ASEM to take up the contentious issue of combating bribery and corruption. This paper describes..

    Jong bum Kim Date 1997.12.30

    Economic cooperation
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    ASEM has emerged as an important vehicle for linking Asia and Europe. This paper searches for an effective role for ASEM by suggesting ASEM to take up the contentious issue of combating bribery and corruption. This paper describes the recent international movement to combat corruption against the backdrop of multilateral efforts to develop a framework for investment liberalization. In the process, it is argued that ASEM can play an important role by assisting the discussion on combating corruption in other multilateral bodies. This paper describes the current efforts at ASEM level to combat corruption, and proposes that ASEM should first take up the issue of combating international corruption before tackling domestic corruption issues.